I saw an interesting discussion regarding the potential of TS Sandy. The European model indicates it may be a storm of historic magnitude bringing snow early next week to New York. This is a well respected model so I would keep an eye on its potential path. http://tropwxhq.wordpress.com/2012/10/22/tropical-depression-18-forms-to-become-sandy/
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Great.....and I haven't replaced my beach chair with a shovel in my trunk yet.
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware That's one model Jim. The rest say it will be pushed out to sea by a cold front. If it did hit, it would occur on the same day as we had the October snow last year.
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware i heard about this a little today from my fishing buddies. They are getting a little squirrely about it. I'll be pulling the boat out if its starts getting close.
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Snow I can deal with. I got a ton of coal and the generator is gassed up. If it's water, I'll need a periscope and that's not good!
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware The computer models are interesting as they all show it heading straight north and then a good number show it hitting the eastern seaboard while the majority show it taking a sharp turn and heading out to sea. Let's hope the second scenario prevails!
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Larry it is more complicated. There are two primary hurricane tracking models. The European model has a history of being better than the US (GFS) model looking way out in time. Thereafter, when the time frame before impact closes, the GFS generally catches up and is the better of the two. We are in the looking way out in time frame. The European model shows Sandy will be captured by an approaching cold front and swing back into the New York//Maryland area. I would not bet either way. http://www.davidmixner.com/2012/10/...-weekend-but-two-weather-models-disagree.html
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Up this way they have a strange way of forecasting weather. Between the NOAA, weather channel, local reports, and national reports, they usually figure out what the weather is going to be with about 90% accuracy 12 hours after it happens. We've had snow when it was going to be 60's and sunny, and we've had plans cancelled then got 80's and clear. One day about a week ago they forcasted cloudy with 0% chance of rain until 5pm and then scattered showers until 8pm. It was raining heavily from 10 am until midnight. They never even changed the forecast. I sat at my computer seeing 0% chance of rain while it was pouring out. If they say the hurricane will hit us than I fully believe it'll be the nicest weekend of the fall. If they say the storm won't have any impact than I'll make sure everything is tied down.
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Where else can you get paid a 6 figure salary and be wrong at least 50% of the time!!!
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware The model tracks of Sandy are now split: http://www.wunderground.com/wunderm...hur.cod=1&hur.fx=1&hur.obs=1&fire=0&ft=0&sl=0 Click on the computer models Icon on the right of the map to superimpose the models. ---------- Post added at 03:14 PM ---------- Previous post was at 02:45 PM ---------- There is some risk that Sandy could become another perfect storm like the Halloween storm of 1991. Stay tuned. http://news.yahoo.com/halloween-sca...ows-similarities-perfect-storm-170646481.html
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware We don't want that again! That system dumped 28" of snow on us way over here in the Twin Cities. 37" in Duluth. Signed the papers on my first house that Halloween afternoon just as it was starting to snizzle, and didn't get shoveled out and begin to move in until Nov. 5th.
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Jim, It sounds like you are rooting for us to get slammed:laugh: I'm glad I don't have to leave the house.:grin:
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Nope--I look at it as heads up for the NE guys to the risk of this peculiar path.
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware I busted my butt the last few days to get the intake and carb done and buttoned up just in case winter decided to hit us quick. Every night I looked at the overnight lows and prayed they would stay above freezing until I got the coolant back in the motor and cycled through the system. It sucks having to work in a driveway when winter sets in
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Here is the current thinking on the Sandy track. The European model is now on top showing a northeast US landfall. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218_5day.html http://news.yahoo.com/noaa-east-beware-coming-frankenstorm-171317994.html
Re: Hurricane Sandy --New York Beware Got THAT right, Dale. I remember bundling up my little 4-year old daughter in her snow suit to go trick-or-treating that day...no way she was going to give up on that. The little pumpkin trudged through two feet of snow for about four houses, then she said "Time to go home, Dad":laugh:
